Association of meteorological factors and atmospheric particulate matter with the incidence of pneumonia: an ecological study
- Authors
- Huh K.; Hong J.; Jung J.
- Issue Date
- Dec-2020
- Publisher
- ELSEVIER SCI LTD
- Keywords
- Air pollutants; Meteorological factors; Particulate matter; Pneumonia; Time-series analysis
- Citation
- CLINICAL MICROBIOLOGY AND INFECTION, v.26, no.12, pp.1676 - 1683
- Journal Title
- CLINICAL MICROBIOLOGY AND INFECTION
- Volume
- 26
- Number
- 12
- Start Page
- 1676
- End Page
- 1683
- URI
- https://scholarworks.bwise.kr/gachon/handle/2020.sw.gachon/79773
- DOI
- 10.1016/j.cmi.2020.03.006
- ISSN
- 1198-743X
- Abstract
- Objectives: Inconsistent results have been found between pneumonia and meteorological factors. We aimed to identify principal meteorological factors associated with pneumonia, and to estimate the effect size and lag time. Methods: This was nationwide population-based study used a healthcare claims database merged with a weather database in eight metropolitan cities in Korea. We applied a stepwise approach using the Granger causality test and generalized additive model to elucidate the association between weekly pneumonia incidence (WPI) and meteorological factors/air pollutants (MFAP). Impulse response function was used to examine the time lag. Results: In total, 2 011 424 cases of pneumonia were identified from 2007 to 2017. Among MFAP, diurnal temperature range (DTR), humidity and particulate matter ≤2.5 μm in diameter (PM2.5) showed statistically significant associations with WPI (p < 0.001 for all 3 MFAPs). The association of DTR and WPI showed an inverted U pattern for bacterial and unspecified pneumonia, whereas for viral pneumonia, WPI increased gradually in a more linear manner with DTR and no substantial decline. Humidity showed a consistent pattern in all three pneumonia categories. WPI steeply increased up to 10 to 20 μg/m³ of PM2.5 but did not show a further increase in higher concentrations. On the basis of the result, we examined the effect of MFAP in different lag times up to 3 weeks. Conclusions: DTR, humidity and PM2.5 were identified as MFAP most closely associated with WPI. With the model, we were able to visualize the effect–time association of MFAP and WPI. © 2020 European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases
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