제한적 시장을 가지는 천연자원의 가격예측 모형에 관한 연구

Abstract

Recently, the mineral resource protection policies and regulations in production countries of natural resources including raremetals are becoming more stringent. Such environment makes which market has malfunction. In other word, those are not perfector pure market. Therefore because each market of natural resources have special or unique characters, it is difficult to forecasttheir market prices. In this study, we constructed several models to estimate prices of natural resources using statistical toolslike ARIMA and their business indices. And for examples, Indium and Coal were introduced.