CGE모형을 이용한 자연재해의 경제적 파급효과 분석

Abstract

Economic damages of Natural disaster are increasing recently. Natural disaster reduces national economic growth or changes the structure of national economy. This study employs a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model to examine the effect of natural disaster on national economy. To estimate national economic damages of natural disaster provides information such as community vulnerability, worthiness of mitigation projects, appropriate level of disaster assistance, and recovery decisions. The result implies that natural disaster has an impact of reducing 5% of GDP in Korea on the assumption of no rehabilitation actions