도심부 도로 특성 기반 속도 안정성 수준 산정 모델 개발

Abstract

Speed management in Korea currently emphasizes the setting of speed limits and controlling vehicle speeds to align with these standards. However, monitoring safe and stable speeds tailored to specific road sections is essential for enhancing pedestrian safety in urban areas. In this study, a crash frequency model was developed to define the speed stability range and identify the critical threshold at which the crash frequency changes rapidly. This threshold serves as a reference point for assessing the speed stability levels. Individual vehicle trajectory data collected from 20 road segments in Daejeon-si were used to calculate the speed-related safety evaluation indicators that served as input variables for the safety model. The speed stability range calculation incorporates speed-related indicators and road facility data from Daejeon-si, allowing the model to consider the surrounding infrastructure. The findings revealed that intersections and crosswalks are positively correlated with cumulative crash occurrences. Crash frequency predictions showed higher crash likelihoods at average driving speeds below 30 km/h, indicating that congested conditions at intersections or at peak times necessitate increased safety management. Measures for maintaining safe and appropriate vehicle speeds within identified safe ranges are critical. The speed stability range calculation methodology provides a foundation for establishing traffic safety management strategies that focus on speed control in urban areas. These results can guide the development of targeted safety interventions that prioritize pedestrian protection and optimize safe driving speeds across various road segments.