Predicting severe outcomes using national early warning score (NEWS) in patients identified by a rapid response system: a retrospective cohort study

Abstract

There are insufficient data in managing patients at high risk of deterioration. We aimed to investigate that national early warning score (NEWS) could predict severe outcomes in patients identified by a rapid response system (RRS), focusing on the patient's age. We conducted a retrospective cohort study from June 2019 to December 2020. Outcomes were unplanned intensive care unit (ICU) admission, ICU mortality, and in-hospital mortality. We analyzed the predictive ability of NEWS using receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve and the effect of NEWS parameters using multivariable logistic regression. A total of 2,814 RRS activations were obtained. The predictive ability of NEWS for unplanned ICU admission and in-hospital mortality was fair but was poor for ICU mortality. The predictive ability of NEWS showed no differences between patients aged 80 years or older and under 80 years. However, body temperature affected in-hospital mortality for patients aged 80 years or older, and the inverse effect on unplanned ICU admission was observed. The NEWS showed fair predictive ability for unplanned ICU admission and in-hospital mortality among patients identified by the RRS. The different presentations of patients 80 years or older should be considered in implementing the RRS.