Incremental role of resting myocardial computed tomography perfusion for predicting physiologically significant coronary artery disease: A machine learning approach

Abstract

Background. Evaluation of resting myocardial computed tomography perfusion (CTP) by coronary CT angiography (CCTA) might serve as a useful addition for determining coronary artery disease. We aimed to evaluate the incremental benefit of resting CTP over coronary stenosis for predicting ischemia using a computational algorithm trained by machine learning methods.

Methods. 252 patients underwent CCTA and invasive fractional flow reserve (FFR). CT stenosis was classified as 0%, 1-30%, 31-49%, 50-70%, and > 70% maximal stenosis. Significant ischemia was defined as invasive FFR < 0.80. Resting CTP analysis was performed using a gradient boosting classifier for supervised machine learning.

Results. On a per-patient basis, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive, and negative predictive values according to resting CTP when added to CT stenosis (> 70%) for predicting ischemia were 68.3%, 52.7%, 84.6%, 78.2%, and 63.0%, respectively. Compared with CT stenosis [area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC): 0.68, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.62-0.74], the addition of resting CTP appeared to improve discrimination (AUC: 0.75, 95% CI 0.69-0.81, P value.001) and reclassification (net reclassification improvement: 0.52, P value <.001) of ischemia.

Conclusions. The addition of resting CTP analysis acquired from machine learning techniques may improve the predictive utility of significant ischemia over coronary stenosis.