A real-time model based on least squares support vector machines and output bias update for the prediction of NOx emission from coal-fired power plant

Abstract

The accurate and reliable real-time estimation of NOx emission is indispensable for the implementation of successful control and optimization of NOx emission from a coal-fired power plant. We apply a real-time update scheme to least squares support vector machines (LSSVM) to build a real-time version for real-time prediction of NOx. Incorporation of LSSVM in the update scheme enhances its generalization ability for long-term predictions. The proposed real-time model based on LSSVM (LSSVM-scheme) is applied to NOx emission process data from a coal-fired power plant in Korea to compare the prediction performance of NOx emission with real-time model based on partial least squares (PLS-scheme). Prediction results show that LSSVM-scheme predicts robustly for a long passage of time with higher accuracy in comparison with PLS-scheme. We also present a user friendly and sophisticated graphical user interface to enhance the convenience to approach the features of real-time LSSVM-scheme.