Model predictive control in dynamic economic dispatch using Weibull distribution

Abstract

This paper develops dynamic economic dispatch (DED) using model predictive control (MPC) based on Weibull probabilistic distribution function (PDF). Firstly we performed economic dispatch (ED) based onWeibull PDF.We considered the probabilistic cost about over-estimated and under-estimated cost of wind power by using Weibull PDF. Secondly we implemented DED formulated in a MPC framework using the maximum wind power capability from the ED results since ED does not consider the ramp rate constraint. By using dispatch error cost, we could consider the current status of reliable generation by using the proposed MPC method. It turns out that the DED using MPC method is very effective in coping with intermittent resource such as wind variability.