우리나라 지역별 산업토지수요 예측에 관한 연구Forecasting Regional and Industrial Land Demand: the case of Korea
- Other Titles
- Forecasting Regional and Industrial Land Demand: the case of Korea
- Authors
- 김홍배; 최준석
- Issue Date
- Oct-2010
- Publisher
- 한국도시행정학회
- Keywords
- Forecasting of land-demand; Land-supply; Change of land-use; 토지수요 예측; 토지공급; 토지용도의 변화
- Citation
- 도시행정학보, v.23, no.3, pp.217 - 238
- Indexed
- KCI
- Journal Title
- 도시행정학보
- Volume
- 23
- Number
- 3
- Start Page
- 217
- End Page
- 238
- URI
- https://scholarworks.bwise.kr/hanyang/handle/2021.sw.hanyang/172668
- ISSN
- 1598-8686
- Abstract
- The paper is to forecast regional land demand by industry and to suggest the amount of land supply that a region should prepare. Currently, Korea is undergoing a rapid transformation of land-use due to decreasing agricultural land demand and increasing industrial land demand. Hence, for an efficient allocation of resources, it is important to forecast industrial land demand and to direct the landuse of a region accordingly. In other words, over-supplied land demand could produce unsold land which results in waste of resources.
On the other hand, underestimated land demand could lead to social congestion and undermine industrial incompetency due to increasing land price. The paper attempts to establish a framework of forecasting regional land demand, and to estimate industrial land demand based on the results obtained.
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