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COVID-19 판데믹 이후 오프라인 복합쇼핑몰 매출액 예측Forecasting of Offline Complex Shopping Mall Retail Sales after COVID-19 pandemic
- Other Titles
- Forecasting of Offline Complex Shopping Mall Retail Sales after COVID-19 pandemic
- Issue Date
- Oct-2022
- Publisher
- 대한건축학회
- Keywords
- 오프라인 리테일; 복합쇼핑몰; 시계열 데이터; 매출액 예측; Offline Retail; Complex Shopping Mall; Time-Series Data; Sales Forecasting
- Citation
- 2022년 대한건축학회 추계학술발표대회논문집, pp.1060 - 1061
- Indexed
- OTHER
- Journal Title
- 2022년 대한건축학회 추계학술발표대회논문집
- Start Page
- 1060
- End Page
- 1061
- Abstract
- The purpose of this study was to forecast offline retail sales for analyze whether offline retail industry can overcome the impact ofCOVID-19 pandemic or not. The offline sales was forecast by using naive seasonal exponential smoothing and autoregressive integratedmoving average (ARIMA) models. To find more accurate forecasting model, mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) was evaluated. Toforecast offline complex shopping mall total sales, naive exponential smoothing model was chosen as most accurate forecasting model.Including forecasting of offline retail sales on 2022, annual retail sales was analyzed from 2018 to 2022. The result showed that offlineretail sales will be increase little bit more than offline sales on 2021, however, it is still more than 20% less than offline sales on 2018and 2019.
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Collections - 서울 공과대학 > 서울 건축공학부 > 1. Journal Articles
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Related Researcher
- Kim, Ju Hyung
- COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING (SCHOOL OF ARCHITECTURAL ENGINEERING)