Correlation between the Cycle Threshold Values in Detection of Severe Fever with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome Virus Using PowerChekTM SFTSV Real-Time PCR Kit and Viral Load: Prognostic Implications

Abstract

Background: This study aimed to analyze the correlation between the cycle threshold (Ct) values of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) virus small (S) and middle (M) segments and the SFTS viral load, aiming to estimate the initial viral load and predict prognosis in the early clinical course. Method: A retrospective study was conducted with confirmed SFTS patients at Jeju National University Hospital (2016–2022). Patients were categorized into non-fatal and fatal groups. Results: This study included 49 patients with confirmed SFTS (non-fatal group, n = 42; fatal group, n = 7). A significant negative correlation (−0.783) was observed between the log SFTS viral load and Ct values (p < 0.001). This negative correlation was notably stronger in the fatal group (correlation coefficient −0.940) than in the non-fatal group (correlation coefficient −0.345). Conclusion: In this study, we established a correlation between SFTS viral load and Ct values for estimating the initial viral load and early predicting prognosis. These results are expected to offer valuable insights for SFTS patient treatment and prognosis prediction.