Combination of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and albumin concentration to predict the prognosis of esophageal squamous cell cancer patients undergoing esophagectomy

Abstract

Background: Esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) is an aggressive cancer with high incidence and mortality. It is crucial to predict prognosis of these patients individually. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been reported as a prognostic indicator in several tumors, including esophageal cancer. Besides inflammatory factors, nutritional status can impact survival of cancer patients. Albumin (Alb) concentration is an easily obtained indicator to reflect nutritional status.Methods: In this study, we retrospectively collected the data of patients with ESCC and used univariate and multivariate analysis to investigate the relationship between combination of NLR and Alb (NLR-Alb) and survival. Meanwhile, we compared clinical features among NLR-Alb cohorts.Results: Univariate analysis showed that age (P=0.013), gender (P=0.021), surgical type (P=0.031), preoperative therapy (P=0.007), NLR-Alb (P=0.001), and tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) status (P<0.001) were associated with 5-year overall survival (OS). In multivariate analysis, NLR-Alb [hazard ratio (HR) =2.53, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.38-4.63, P=0.003] and TNM status (HR =4.76, 95% CI: 3.09- 7.33, P<0.001) were independent predictive factors for 5-year OS. The 5-year OS rates were 83%, 62%, and 55% for NLR-Alb 1, NLR-Alb 2, and NLR-Alb 3, respectively (P=0.001). Conclusions: In summary, pre-operative NLR-Alb is a favorable and cost-effective index to predict prognosis of patients with ESCC individually.