노인장기요양보험의 미래수요 예측Estimating Future Needs of the Korean Public Long Term Care Insurance
- Other Titles
- Estimating Future Needs of the Korean Public Long Term Care Insurance
- Authors
- 권혁성; 이창수
- Issue Date
- Apr-2011
- Publisher
- 한국보험학회
- Keywords
- Long-term Care Insurance; Financial Projection; Estimation for Future Demand; Multi-state Markov Model; 노인장기요양보험; 재정추계; 수요예측; 다중상태 마르코프 모형
- Citation
- 보험학회지, no.88, pp.89 - 114
- Journal Title
- 보험학회지
- Number
- 88
- Start Page
- 89
- End Page
- 114
- URI
- http://scholarworks.bwise.kr/ssu/handle/2018.sw.ssu/13827
- ISSN
- 1229-8611
- Abstract
- Public long term care insurance, which aims to improve social welfare for elderly people, has been managed for about thirty months. Among various problems indicated so far, demands for service turns out be higher than expected. Under-estimation of demands may cause problems on stable management for long term care service. In order to resolve the problem and to develop the insurance service, future costs for long term care service should be estimated by appropriate method. And it is essential to predict future needs for cost projections. This study suggests an actuarial model for the projection of the needs for various levels of long term care service admission based on empirical data and multi-state Markov model.
- Files in This Item
-
Go to Link
- Appears in
Collections - College of Natural Sciences > ETC > 1. Journal Articles
Items in ScholarWorks are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.