태풍 발생 인접 주말의 수요예측 오차 감소 방안
- Authors
- 박정도; 송경빈
- Issue Date
- 2009
- Publisher
- 대한전기학회
- Keywords
- Load forecast; Anomalous weather conditions; Typhoon hit; Load forecast; Anomalous weather conditions; Typhoon hit
- Citation
- 전기학회논문지ABCD, v.58, no.9, pp.1700 - 1705
- Journal Title
- 전기학회논문지ABCD
- Volume
- 58
- Number
- 9
- Start Page
- 1700
- End Page
- 1705
- URI
- http://scholarworks.bwise.kr/ssu/handle/2018.sw.ssu/16117
- ISSN
- 1229-2443
- Abstract
- In general, short term load forecasting is based on the periodical load pattern during a day or a week. Therefore, the conventional methods do not expose stable performance to every day during a year. Especially for anomalous weather conditions such as typhoons, the methods have a tendency to show the conspicuous accuracy deterioration. Furthermore, the tendency raises the reliability and stability problems of the conventional load forecast. In this study, a new load forecasting method is proposed in order to increase the accuracy of the forecast result in case of anomalous weather conditions such as typhoons. For irregular weather conditions, the sensitivity between temperature and daily load is used to improve the accuracy of the load forecast. The proposed method was tested with the actual load profiles during 14 years, which shows that the suggested scheme considerably improves the accuracy of the load forecast results.
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Collections - College of Engineering > School of Electrical Engineering > 1. Journal Articles
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