Risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality in patients with diabetes and acute pancreatitis history: a nationwide cohort study

Abstract

Patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) may have an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Few studies have dealt with the association between AP and the risk of CVD in diabetic patients. This study aimed to investigate the risk of CVD and mortality in patients with diabetes and AP history by analyzing a large-scale national claims database in Korea. Data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database was analyzed. A total of 2,746,988 participants with type 2 diabetes mellitus that underwent a general health examination between 2009 and 2012 were enrolled. The participants were divided into two groups according to AP history (yes or no) prior to the examination date, and follow-up data until 2018 was analyzed. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), or death. The Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to evaluate the association between AP history and the risk of stroke, MI, and mortality. After exclusion, the included number of participants with and without AP history were 3,810 and 2,258,910, respectively. The presence of AP history showed a significantly higher incidence of stroke, MI, and mortality. The adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for the risk of stroke, MI, and mortality were 1.534 (1.342-1.753), 1.998 (1.733-2.303), and 2.353 (2.200-2.515), respectively. Age < 65, male sex, current smoking, and drinking significantly increased the risk of death in the subgroup analyses. The risk of stroke, MI, and mortality was significantly higher in diabetic participants with AP history than those without AP history at 9-year follow-up. This suggests that active management of cardiovascular risk factors is necessary in diabetic patients with AP history.