컬링 경기력 지표를 이용한 컬링 경기의 순위 예측

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to develop the Performance Indicator in Curling(PIC) to predict the ranking of women’s curling games. For the research, data was collected from Results and Statistics of the World Curling Federation and 2014 Sochi Winter Olympics. This paper selects highly influential variables in curling games from the previous studies and logistic regression. Chi‐square, binary logistic regression, and spearman’s correlation in SPSS 23.0 was applied for the analysis with the statistical significance p<.05. As a result, it was found that the highly influential variables in the outcome of curling game is the normalized olympics medal point, the average shot accuracy of Lead, Third and Skip, and the average score with the possession of the last stone in 10th end. It was also found that correlation between PIC and ranking of woman’s curling game is .702 in 2014 Sochi Winter Olympics. In conclusion, the PIC developed in this study is a suitable indicator for predicting the ranking in women's curling games.