적극적 노동시장정책의 실업 감소 효과에 관한 연구A Study of Active Labor Market Policy and Unemployment : An Analysis Using Fuller-Battese Model
- Authors
- 강철희; 김교성; 김영범
- Issue Date
- May-2001
- Publisher
- 한국사회복지학회
- Citation
- 한국사회복지학, v.45, pp 7 - 39
- Pages
- 33
- Journal Title
- 한국사회복지학
- Volume
- 45
- Start Page
- 7
- End Page
- 39
- URI
- https://scholarworks.bwise.kr/cau/handle/2019.sw.cau/36726
- ISSN
- 1229-5132
- Abstract
- This paper examines the effect of active labor market policy on the unemployment rates in 8 welfare states. This paper focuses on the following questions: what are the major predictors of the changes in unemployment rates?; and what is the effect of active labor market policy in reducing unemployment rates? Using the data from Comparative Welfare States Data Set by Stephens (1997), Key Indicators of the Labour Market by ILO (1999) and Social Expenditure Database by OECD (1999), this paper attempts to answer the above research questions. Fuller-Battese model, a data analysis method in pooled cross-sectional time-series analysis, is adopted to identify variables predicting changes in unemployment rates. This paper analyzes the predictors by using 3 analysis models about 2 types of unemployment (overall unemployment and long term unemployment). Results are as follows: (1) economic variable such as changes in GDP has a positive effect in reducing unemployment rates; (2) active labor market policy has a positive effect in reducing unemployment rates as well; (3) job brokering service among 3 major active labor market programs has a positive effect in reducing unemployment rates; and (4) there is an interaction effect between unemployment benefit level and active labor market policy in reducing unemployment rates. Through the empirical analysis, this paper provides valuable knowledge about effects of active labor market policy on unemployment in 8 welfare states and discusses implications for the active labor market policy in Korea.
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