Aggressive hydration for preventing post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography pancreatitis: trial sequential analysis

Abstract

Background: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have demonstrated that aggressive hydration with lactated Ringer’s (LR) solution reduces the frequency and severity of post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) pancreatitis (PEP). In this trial sequential analysis (TSA), we aimed to evaluate the prophylactic effect of aggressive hydration on PEP in specific patient subgroups and to determine the need for additional RCTs. Methods: We conducted a systematic and comprehensive search to identify all randomized controlled studies published through August 2021 that examined the effectiveness of aggressive hydration for preventing PEP. The primary outcome was the frequency of PEP. We also performed TSA to calculate the required information size and assess whether our results were conclusive. Results: The analysis included 12 studies involving 2,501 patients. According to the TSA, the overall frequency of PEP was significantly lower in the aggressive hydration group (5.6%; 74 of 1,327 patients) than in the control group (13.1%; 154 of 1,174 patients) (risk ratio [RR]: 0.458; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.350–0.599). In the subgroup analysis of patients with average risk, the cumulative Z curve crossed both the conventional test boundary and the trial sequential monitoring boundary. However, in the high-risk group and in patients with moderate-to-severe PEP, the Z curve did not cross the trial sequential monitoring boundary. Conclusions: This TSA indicates that aggressive hydration is effective in the overall prevention of PEP. However, additional RCTs are required to examine the prophylactic effect of aggressive hydration with LR on PEP in high-risk populations. © 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature.