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Structural Breaks : A Shift of Roles in the Relationship between Real Estate Regional Industry

Authors
Jin, ChanghaTidwell,AlanSeagraves,Philip
Issue Date
Dec-2017
Publisher
American Real Estate Society
Keywords
economic base; real estate market; industry; panel VAR; stock market
Citation
The Journal of Housing Research, v.27, no.2, pp 129 - 158
Pages
30
Indexed
FOREIGN
Journal Title
The Journal of Housing Research
Volume
27
Number
2
Start Page
129
End Page
158
URI
https://scholarworks.bwise.kr/erica/handle/2021.sw.erica/3522
DOI
10.1080/10835547.2018.12092146
ISSN
1052-7001
Abstract
We conduct an analysis of connectivity between regional housing markets and regional industry by examining 10 consolidated metropolitan statistical areas (CMSAs) in the Case-Shiller Index and stock portfolios representing the economic base for each region. We test for cointegrating relationships between real estate markets and industry performance and find that, prior to the recent real estate market collapse, prices in the housing market are dependent on industry performance; post-collapse, however, this relationship changes. Our results suggest that the recent financial crisis was so severe that it resulted in a structural break in the causal relationship between regional industry performance and real estate markets.
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