미래사회의 고객니즈 분석을 통한 시나리오 기반의 미래 기술예측 방법론A Methodology for Future Technology Foresight based on Scenario through the Analysis of Future Customer Needs
- Other Titles
- A Methodology for Future Technology Foresight based on Scenario through the Analysis of Future Customer Needs
- Authors
- 김영명; 김민관; 이준석; 한창희
- Issue Date
- Nov-2011
- Publisher
- 한국경영과학회
- Keywords
- Future Technology; Technology Foresight; Management of Technology; Future Foresight; Scenario; Trend Analysis
- Citation
- 경영과학, v.28, no.3, pp 143 - 159
- Pages
- 17
- Indexed
- KCI
- Journal Title
- 경영과학
- Volume
- 28
- Number
- 3
- Start Page
- 143
- End Page
- 159
- URI
- https://scholarworks.bwise.kr/erica/handle/2021.sw.erica/38778
- ISSN
- 1225-1100
- Abstract
- Recently, the level of uncertainty in R&D investment for an enterprise has increased due to technological development and industrial changes. Accordingly it is necessary for an enterprise to forecast the future or foresight the future technologies. But, the fact that the methodology used in predicting future technology is suitable for large project makes enterprise difficult to forecast the future technologies or trends.
Thus, this study seeks for available methodology for future technology foresight from enterprise standpoint. The methodology proposed in this research is based on the scenario model, especially focused on the customer needs and future society change.
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