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미래사회의 고객니즈 분석을 통한 시나리오 기반의 미래 기술예측 방법론A Methodology for Future Technology Foresight based on Scenario through the Analysis of Future Customer Needs

Other Titles
A Methodology for Future Technology Foresight based on Scenario through the Analysis of Future Customer Needs
Authors
김영명김민관이준석한창희
Issue Date
Nov-2011
Publisher
한국경영과학회
Keywords
Future Technology; Technology Foresight; Management of Technology; Future Foresight; Scenario; Trend Analysis
Citation
경영과학, v.28, no.3, pp 143 - 159
Pages
17
Indexed
KCI
Journal Title
경영과학
Volume
28
Number
3
Start Page
143
End Page
159
URI
https://scholarworks.bwise.kr/erica/handle/2021.sw.erica/38778
ISSN
1225-1100
Abstract
Recently, the level of uncertainty in R&D investment for an enterprise has increased due to technological development and industrial changes. Accordingly it is necessary for an enterprise to forecast the future or foresight the future technologies. But, the fact that the methodology used in predicting future technology is suitable for large project makes enterprise difficult to forecast the future technologies or trends. Thus, this study seeks for available methodology for future technology foresight from enterprise standpoint. The methodology proposed in this research is based on the scenario model, especially focused on the customer needs and future society change.
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