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Do Larger Cities Experience Lower Crime Rates? A Scaling Analysis of 758 Cities in the US

Authors
Chang, Yu SangKim, Hann EarlJeon, Seongmin
Issue Date
1-Jun-2019
Publisher
MDPI
Keywords
violent crime counts; property crime counts; population size of city; superlinear relationship; sublinear relationship; linear relationship
Citation
SUSTAINABILITY, v.11, no.11
Journal Title
SUSTAINABILITY
Volume
11
Number
11
URI
https://scholarworks.bwise.kr/gachon/handle/2020.sw.gachon/1375
DOI
10.3390/su11113111
ISSN
2071-1050
Abstract
Do larger cities still suffer from higher crime rates? The scaling relationship between the number of crimes and the population size for the maximum of 758 cities with more than 50,000 inhabitants in the United States from 1999 to 2014 was analyzed. For the total group of cities, the relationship is superlinear for both violent and property crimes. However, for the subgroups of the top 12, top 24, and top 50 largest cities, the relationship changes to sublinear for both violent and property crimes. Results from the panel data analysis are in support of these findings. Along with population size, income per capita and population density also influence the outcome of crime counts. Implications from these findings will be discussed.
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