Forecasting Repair Schedule for Building Components Based on Case-Based Reasoning and Fuzzy-AHP

Abstract

Building maintenance is closely related to the performance and sustainability of buildings. However, existing approaches to maintenance are limited in terms of estimating required repairs. Therefore, this study proposes a case-based reasoning (CBR)-based model for estimating the time when the first repair will be needed after the completion of construction, even in phases where maintenance-related information is scarce. CBR and fuzzy-analytic hierarchy process (AHP) were employed as research methodologies. A database was established by collecting 257 cases related to maintenance of apartment buildings, and attributes were extracted through literature reviews and expert interviews. Then, attributes were weighted by fuzzy-AHP and case similarities were computed by measuring the Euclidean distance. Similar cases were retrieved based on similarity scores. The model was validated via a comparison of 20 randomly selected test cases with the output of retrieved cases. The results showed that the average case similarities of 3-, 5-, 7-, and 10-nearest neighbors (NN) were 98.05%, 97.86%, 97.73%, and 97.59%, respectively, and mean absolute percentage errors for 3-, 5-, 7-, and 10-NN were mostly lower than 20%, confirming the applicability of the proposed model. The proposed method will help in the preliminary estimation of the repair time of building components.