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제한적 시장을 가지는 천연자원의 가격예측 모형에 관한 연구A Model on Price Forecasting of Natural Resources with Restricted Market
- Other Titles
- A Model on Price Forecasting of Natural Resources with Restricted Market
- Issue Date
- 2014
- Publisher
- 한국산업경영시스템학회
- Keywords
- Price Forecasting; Rare Metal; Natural Resources; ARIMA; Business Index
- Citation
- 한국산업경영시스템학회지, v.37, no.4, pp.82 - 89
- Journal Title
- 한국산업경영시스템학회지
- Volume
- 37
- Number
- 4
- Start Page
- 82
- End Page
- 89
- ISSN
- 2005-0461
- Abstract
- Recently, the mineral resource protection policies and regulations in production countries of natural resources including raremetals are becoming more stringent. Such environment makes which market has malfunction. In other word, those are not perfector pure market. Therefore because each market of natural resources have special or unique characters, it is difficult to forecasttheir market prices. In this study, we constructed several models to estimate prices of natural resources using statistical toolslike ARIMA and their business indices. And for examples, Indium and Coal were introduced.
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