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Prediction of Network Throughput using ARIMA

Authors
Lee, DongwonLee, DongwooChoi, MinjiLee, Joohyun
Issue Date
Feb-2020
Publisher
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Keywords
ARIMA; Network Throughput; Prediction; Time series data
Citation
2020 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence in Information and Communication, ICAIIC 2020, pp 1 - 5
Pages
5
Indexed
SCOPUS
Journal Title
2020 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence in Information and Communication, ICAIIC 2020
Start Page
1
End Page
5
URI
https://scholarworks.bwise.kr/erica/handle/2021.sw.erica/1814
DOI
10.1109/ICAIIC48513.2020.9065083
ISSN
0000-0000
Abstract
In this paper, we apply an ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) model to predict future network throughput, which is important in improving the network protocols in terms of latency, energy, etc. The Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model is a popular and a successful method to predict time-series data. It has wide applications in time-series analysis, including statistics and economics. We first train the model with the network throughput data using history. Then we make an estimation for the throughput in the future. We use the Mean Squared Error (MSE) as a means of error estimation and tune the parameters p, d, q, m of the ARIMA model. As a result, we obtain a forecast waveform with an average error rate of 2.84%. © 2020 IEEE.
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ERICA 공학대학 (SCHOOL OF ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING)
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